Will Ryan be nominated for a National Board award?
National Board of Review unveils winners tomorrow
Most pundits claim that "Dreamgirls" or "The Queen" will be voted best picture by the National Board of Review when it unveils winners on Wednesday. Those choices would be in sync with past honorees like "Moulin Rouge!" (voters love musicals) and "Sense and Sensibility" (they're suckers for everything British).
But those two pix have a serious shot at winning the top Oscar. Time and again NBR voters have demonstrated that they like to go their own way, sometimes drastically so, picking "Quills" and "Gods and Monsters." NBR likes to give underdogs a push. Its support certainly helped "Moulin Rouge!" earn the second-most Oscar noms and "Monsters" to win the screenplay Oscar for Bill Condon (now "Dreamgirls'" director/writer).
Voters adore films with literary appeal, so "Little Children" and "The Painted Veil" should be considered seriously. Being based in Marty Scorsese's New York, NBR could give "The Departed" the edge. Surely, they'll give their best-actor prize to Ryan Gosling ("Half Nelson") since they like to go indie rebel in that race. There's a remote possibility they could even vote "Nelson" best pic, but it's not backed by a major studio. That could hurt its chances there. NBR voters like to spread the kudos wealth, giving every top studio something so that they'll all attend the awards ceremony. Little Think Films will already be getting the actors' trophy. Dreamgirl Jennifer Hudson will certainly win best breakthrough performance or best supporting actress.
Remember, NBR is not a film-critics' prize. It's really like an Enlightened People's Choice Award, bestowed by a society of sophisticated film fans who are teachers, lawyers, journalists, dentists, etc.
But those two pix have a serious shot at winning the top Oscar. Time and again NBR voters have demonstrated that they like to go their own way, sometimes drastically so, picking "Quills" and "Gods and Monsters." NBR likes to give underdogs a push. Its support certainly helped "Moulin Rouge!" earn the second-most Oscar noms and "Monsters" to win the screenplay Oscar for Bill Condon (now "Dreamgirls'" director/writer).
Voters adore films with literary appeal, so "Little Children" and "The Painted Veil" should be considered seriously. Being based in Marty Scorsese's New York, NBR could give "The Departed" the edge. Surely, they'll give their best-actor prize to Ryan Gosling ("Half Nelson") since they like to go indie rebel in that race. There's a remote possibility they could even vote "Nelson" best pic, but it's not backed by a major studio. That could hurt its chances there. NBR voters like to spread the kudos wealth, giving every top studio something so that they'll all attend the awards ceremony. Little Think Films will already be getting the actors' trophy. Dreamgirl Jennifer Hudson will certainly win best breakthrough performance or best supporting actress.
Remember, NBR is not a film-critics' prize. It's really like an Enlightened People's Choice Award, bestowed by a society of sophisticated film fans who are teachers, lawyers, journalists, dentists, etc.
Labels: Awards
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